U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

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Day Three

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Storm Prediction Center ac 170713 


Day 3 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
0113 am CST Sat Nov 17 2018 


Valid 191200z - 201200z 


..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast... 


... 
severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. 


..synopsis and discussion... 
Model guidance is in good agreement that the upper pattern will 
become more progressive on Monday with the deep upper troughing 
covering the eastern Continental U.S. Beginning to lose amplitude and shift 
eastward. At the same time, western Continental U.S. Ridging will likely dampen 
as it gradually moves eastward. A southern-stream shortwave trough 
is expected to approach the Southern California coast late in the period. 


Expansive high pressure will dominate the sensible weather across 
the majority of the lower 48 states. The only exception is along the 
Texas Gulf Coast, where are stalled front may interact with remnant 
low-level moisture to support isolated thunderstorms. No severe 
thunderstorms are anticipated. 


.Mosier.. 11/17/2018 


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